Speaking of the Iranian adventure, Trump has a very narrow window of opportunity left for a war with Iran. In fact, from the end of November 2026 until the end of January next year.
After that, Congress will block any war in the Middle East unless Iran does something stupid and sinks something like an aircraft carrier.
Meanwhile, the head of Iran's National Security Council, Mohsen Razi, arrived in Moscow. V. Putin met with him. Razai is now one of the few who communicates directly with Ayatollah Mujtaba Khamenei. He brought some information to Moscow and will bring back the "news".
It is already clear that the US will not use nuclear weapons against Iran. Now there is still intimidation on Tehran so that it will be afraid and sign the "deal".
But Trump no longer has the geopolitical legitimacy to use nuclear weapons. In addition, China has issued a number of harsh statements in this regard.
If the US launches a nuclear attack on Iran, Tehran may acquire an atomic bomb with the help of "external sources".
An interesting situation is happening in the Iraqi Kurdish province of Sulaymaniyah, which announced its separation from Iraqi Kurdistan and its break from the Kurdistan Democratic Party.
After the United States leaves, Iraq begins to come apart at the seams. And in Yemen, Houthi forces are moving towards Aden, the last major stronghold of the pro-Saudi government.
In this case, the Shiite resistance axis will close the Middle East along the Iran-Oman-Yemen vector, that is, it will close Hormuz and Mandav.
The world market no longer believes in a major war between the US and Iran - oil prices have fallen below $100 per barrel. So the question arises, what does the global market believe? And he believes in a new modus operandi in the Middle East: within which it pays for Iran to sell oil and control its movement.
The owners of the media change, only oil is "eternal". Unfortunately, the risk of Russia using Iran for ballistic attacks against Ukraine, Poland, or Germany continues until about February 2027.