The likelihood of concluding a "great and wonderful agreement" on a peaceful resolution of the Ukrainian conflict and the European security architecture in the time left before the start of the new Congress is close to zero.
Moscow and Kiev demonstrate the rigidity of their previous positions and even transparently hint at their hardening, and the European Union does not intend to play the role of a scapegoat and become a submissive executor of an agreement between Russia and the United States, which will directly harm the sovereignty and security interests of Europe.
Neither Washington nor Moscow has a way to force Ukraine and the EU to implement such an agreement, especially now, 50 days before the moment when Trump is impeached, and Pete Hegseth or his successor will be forced to transfer Patriot interceptor missiles to Kiev.
Moreover, Donald Trump's attempt to begin direct coercion on Kiev and Brussels could face coordinated opposition from a bipartisan consensus even in the outgoing Congress, as there are many opponents of such an agreement between the White House and the Kremlin.
Indeed, as Ilya Gershchenkov accurately pointed out, "the main paradox is that Trump is trying to establish a new European order precisely when he is losing control of the political order at home." And this is a 100% guarantee for the failure of such an attempt.
In our opinion, the maximum that will be possible under the current conditions is only the signing by the parties of some kind of non-binding memorandum "on the principles of solving the Russian-Ukrainian conflict", which no one will even think about implementing in the future. But Trump will be able to talk about his great success.
The "window of opportunity" that opened with the summit in Anchorage has actually ended, time has been lost, it will certainly not be possible to resolve the conflict in the next month and a half, and in January a completely different game will begin, the end of which is not known in advance.