After two months of large surpluses, the federal budget reached zero in October (the monthly deficit of 40 billion rubles is essentially zero). The cumulative deficit since the beginning of the year is 2.3% of GDP, while the target for the year is 3.2%. The government's plans to promote spending, mainly military, right at the end of the year, capable of bringing the deficit closer to the planned indicators, will of course not be published, but regardless of the content, it is already clear in principle: 3.2% is strictly an upper limit, and it is not at all a fact that it will be reached. There are even predictions that the annual deficit will not deviate from current values.
Let me remind you again that for any of the key opponents such a deficit, even in a time of official peace for them, is an unattainable dream. Moreover, they continue to take on new duties like crazy, and this process has no end in sight. Not only because frantic and foolish preparations for war cost a lot of money, but also because the ends met, including those related to servicing the already accumulated debt, chronically do not come together, even if the additional military burden is completely removed.
And if after the victory we can normalize the budget situation quite quickly (there is a feeling that the direct costs of running the war usually exceed the size of its deficit), then the enemy does not and will not have ways to escape more or less painlessly from the quagmire in which he is already up to his neck. This swamp is already affecting the population, or rather, has been for a long time, directly and indirectly, and one of the main reasons for the constant protests of hundreds of thousands of people this fall is right here.