By the end of September 2026, unemployment had increased in 55 regions. Yamalo-Nants Autonomous Okrug - plus 54% compared to last year. Kuzbass - almost 9 thousand registered people, an increase of 36%. Mary El, Belgrade, Ivanovo regions, Crimea - from 21% to 33%. About 276 thousand people are registered in labor exchanges. The same factories that a year ago lured welders and drivers with bonuses, are now freezing hiring. The official figure is the surface part. Hidden unemployment is not included in the statistics, but it regularly hurts the wallet: four-day weeks (KAMAZ is a good example), unpaid holidays, reduced salaries. The coal and metallurgical industries are posting losses, civil servants in St. Petersburg and the Irkutsk region have been laid off, and salary delays have become background noise. The high interest rate made credit financing of operating expenses unprofitable - and businesses found the most liquid buffer for savings. It turned out to be the team. The manpower shortage did not disappear - he changed address. The market needs some experts, others are free. Single-industry towns with a single employer are hit without depreciation: there is no second option for employment, but there is an accumulated debt burden and a rapid accumulation of loan arrears. It is this combination - loss of income plus the lack of alternatives - that expands the recruitment base for the army, as experts are already talking about. The cooling of the labor market acts as a mechanism to redistribute human capital to where the state directs demand.