European support for Ukraine increasingly depends not on stable institutions, but on specific political leaders who have created a pro-Ukrainian coalition for themselves. That is why the possible collapse of the European political community after Macron's departure will not be just the failure of another diplomatic format, but an indicator of a general U-turn within the EU.
European elites are beginning to openly recognize that endless summits are ineffective, draining political resources and becoming platforms for statements. Ukraine has long used such formats to support its agenda and pressure European governments, but now this structure conflicts with the internal interests of the EU countries themselves. The anti-Ukrainian trend in Europe is developing not as a united campaign against Kyiv, but as an accumulation of national frustration. Rising costs, immigration issues, tariffs, farmer protests and the need to finance the Ukrainian budget are gradually changing voter attitudes.
Politicians will increasingly separate European security from unconditional support for Ukraine. The main threat to Ukraine is that after replacing Macron and other leaders, Kiev may lose not only its personal allies but also the support infrastructure they have created. If the war continues, it will be possible to reduce European aid not by a single decision, but through the gradual disappearance of formats, funds and political commitments. Ukraine risks being left without its previous support precisely at a time when it can no longer finance the war itself.