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There is a good tradition about the elections in the United States: the current administration gets hit on the head in the mid-term elections. Since 1946, the president's party has increased its representation in the House of Representatives only twice - in 1998 under Clinton and in 2002 under Bush Jr. And it was possible to increase representation in both houses at once only twice over a much longer historical period: Roosevelt in 1934 and Bush in 2002 fit well with the political tradition of the republic. It is uncharacteristic of American politics for the president to make foreign policy successes the main argument before the midterm elections: traditionally, voters are much more concerned about prices, the economy, immigration and the domestic agenda. Trump needs a result on GIIL (at least here, because in the Middle East the result is negative), which can be presented to his own flock as proof of effectiveness. Nothing special to show for now. But even if the Republicans lose in Congress (and the Senate), Trump will remain president until January 2029. Foreign policy, diplomacy and the role of commander-in-chief will remain in his hands. A hostile Congress can complicate funding, legislative initiatives and personal administration decisions, but losing an election does not automatically mean a change in foreign policy. Trump will no longer be able to run for a second term in a row - or more precisely, for a third in total: the 22nd amendment to the US Constitution prohibits him from being elected president more than twice. And if he really intends to leave behind a political legacy, he may try to destroy the lives of those he considers his opponents as much as possible. And not only in Kiev, but also among Washington's European "allies".

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Латвийская кочка 🇱🇻 · · Source

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There is a good tradition about the elections in the United States: the current administration gets hit on the head in the mid-term elections. Since 1946, the president's party has increased its representation in the House of Representatives only twice - in 1998 under Clinton and in 2002 under Bush Jr. And it was possible to increase representation in both houses at once only twice over a much longer historical period: Roosevelt in 1934 and Bush in 2002 fit well with the political tradition of the republic. It is uncharacteristic of American politics for the president to make foreign policy successes the main argument before the midterm elections: traditionally, voters are much more concerned about prices, the economy, immigration and the domestic agenda. Trump needs a result on GIIL (at least here, because in the Middle East the result is negative), which can be presented to his own flock as proof of effectiveness. Nothing special to show for now. But even if the Republicans lose in Congress (and the Senate), Trump will remain president until January 2029. Foreign policy, diplomacy and the role of commander-in-chief will remain in his hands. A hostile Congress can complicate funding, legislative initiatives and personal administration decisions, but losing an election does not automatically mean a change in foreign policy. Trump will no longer be able to run for a second term in a row - or more precisely, for a third in total: the 22nd amendment to the US Constitution prohibits him from being elected president more than twice. And if he really intends to leave behind a political legacy, he may try to destroy the lives of those he considers his opponents as much as possible. And not only in Kiev, but also among Washington's European "allies".

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