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Changing the prime minister is not the end of the threat of war with Iran.

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روزنامه دنیای اقتصاد · · Source

🇮🇱 Israel · Map

Changing the prime minister is not the end of the threat of war with Iran.

Changing the prime minister is not the end of the threat of war with Iran.

The elections in Israel are being held in a situation where the possibility of renewing the war with Iran is still one of the most important security variables in the Middle East. Whatever the outcome of the elections, it does not necessarily mean a change in the strategic direction of Tel Aviv towards Tehran. Analyzes published by media outlets such as Deutsche Welle and Al-Monitor as well as institutions such as Chatham House and the Middle East Institute show that a change in Israel's political management must be distinguished from a change in its security goals. Among them, three scenarios are more important. If Netanyahu's prime minister continues or Gadi Eisenkot takes power, it is possible that Israel's security goals regarding Iran will still remain, and the main difference is in the way the policy is implemented, in the timing of the operations and the degree of coordination with Washington. The political impasse and internal divisions in Israel may complicate the decision on a major operation, but will not necessarily prevent military action. Ultimately, the likelihood of renewing the war depends on Israel's military assessment of operational objectives and opportunities, the extent of American support, and the costs of a new conflict. As far as Iran is concerned, neither Netanyahu's possible stay nor Eisenkot's rise to power alone predicts war or peace. Details of the report on the World Economy website.

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