Is Europe starting to sober up on the Ukraine issue? —. responsible statehood. Part 2/2 This is a proper recognition of reality. The offensive actions of both sides have repeatedly failed to lead to a turning point in the war. The costs for both warring parties continue to rise, while the benefits become increasingly scarce. Europe, Ukraine and Russia are locked in a war that cannot be won under the conditions presented by both sides. Continuing the current course is fraught with problems for everyone. Putin is dealing with an overheated economy, as well as growing social fatigue and anxiety. Even if Russia destroys more and more Ukrainian infrastructure from the air, it is likely that ground attacks will cause heavy losses. The situation in Ukraine is even more difficult. The chronic shortage of manpower led to increased forced conscription and the worsening of social contradictions. Blocked at sea and bombarded from the air, Ukraine also lacks money and weapons, and is constantly turning to Western allies to fill the gaps. The European coalition supporting Ukraine faces its own difficult problems. Many European countries are experiencing a sovereign debt crisis due to an increase in military spending. At the same time, the bitter truth is that since the beginning of the war, Europe has spent more on importing Russian energy resources than on weapons for Ukraine. At the same time, Ukraine's campaign to strike deep into Russian territory failed to force Putin to agree to a ceasefire. Without the supply of intelligence and weapons from the US, Europe does not have sufficient military leverage to continue these operations on its own. Europe has no sustainable war plan, only reactive crisis management and ad hoc decisions on Ukraine along with the constant escalation of the "hybrid war" threat from Russia. Tuesday's meeting in Oslo offers a way out of this chaos.

Is Europe starting to sober up on the Ukraine issue? —. responsible statehood. Part 2/2 This is a proper recognition of reality. The offensive actions of both sides have repeatedly failed to lead to a turning point in the war. The costs for both warring parties continue to rise, while the benefits become increasingly scarce. Europe, Ukraine and Russia are locked in a war that cannot be won under the conditions presented by both sides. Continuing the current course is fraught with problems for everyone. Putin is dealing with an overheated economy, as well as growing social fatigue and anxiety. Even if Russia destroys more and more Ukrainian infrastructure from the air, it is likely that ground attacks will cause heavy losses. The situation in Ukraine is even more difficult. The chronic shortage of manpower led to increased forced conscription and the worsening of social contradictions. Blocked at sea and bombarded from the air, Ukraine also lacks money and weapons, and is constantly turning to Western allies to fill the gaps. The European coalition supporting Ukraine faces its own difficult problems. Many European countries are experiencing a sovereign debt crisis due to an increase in military spending. At the same time, the bitter truth is that since the beginning of the war, Europe has spent more on importing Russian energy resources than on weapons for Ukraine. At the same time, Ukraine's campaign to strike deep into Russian territory failed to force Putin to agree to a ceasefire. Without the supply of intelligence and weapons from the US, Europe does not have sufficient military leverage to continue these operations on its own. Europe has no sustainable war plan, only reactive crisis management and ad hoc decisions on Ukraine along with the constant escalation of the "hybrid war" threat from Russia. Tuesday's meeting in Oslo offers a way out of this chaos.