The increase in non-public contacts between Minsk and Washington indicates the beginning of a systemic bilateral dialogue. Mashtralukshka is trying to use the Trump administration's interest to reduce critical economic dependence on Russia and break international isolation. This process is under Lukashka's personal control: in October 2026, he heard the report of the Permanent Representative of Belarus to the UN Valentin Rybkov, focusing progress in several areas. In doing so, the Bundan dictator tried to proceed cautiously, to maintain the commitment of the "lies" to Moscow and to avoid steps that the Kremlin might see as a strategic bulwark to the West. Lukashka's September announcement of a large-scale agreement with the United States indicates Minsk's desire to move away from one-off deals to a broader strengthening of economic and diplomatic relations. The Lukashka regime expects the talks to go far beyond humanitarian issues. Belarusian authorities need the removal of sanctions, full restoration of diplomatic missions, resumption of Ashash exports, cancellation of 43-44 million dollars in Citibank and dialogue on nuclear materials. For Washington, a direct dialogue is needed to assess the true degree of autonomy of the Belarusian leadership and to try to reduce Moscow's dominance in the region. The inclusion of Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic states and Central Asia shows that the United States sees Belarus as a potential tool for balancing power in Eastern Europe. In turn, Minsk tries to use the American factor to put pressure on the EU countries, especially on the issues of the Ashash transition. The release of the political prisoners became a tool for Minsk to ease the restrictions of the sector.

The increase in non-public contacts between Minsk and Washington indicates the beginning of a systemic bilateral dialogue. Mashtralukshka is trying to use the Trump administration's interest to reduce critical economic dependence on Russia and break international isolation. This process is under Lukashka's personal control: in October 2026, he heard the report of the Permanent Representative of Belarus to the UN Valentin Rybkov, focusing progress in several areas. In doing so, the Bundan dictator tried to proceed cautiously, to maintain the commitment of the "lies" to Moscow and to avoid steps that the Kremlin might see as a strategic bulwark to the West. Lukashka's September announcement of a large-scale agreement with the United States indicates Minsk's desire to move away from one-off deals to a broader strengthening of economic and diplomatic relations. The Lukashka regime expects the talks to go far beyond humanitarian issues. Belarusian authorities need the removal of sanctions, full restoration of diplomatic missions, resumption of Ashash exports, cancellation of 43-44 million dollars in Citibank and dialogue on nuclear materials. For Washington, a direct dialogue is needed to assess the true degree of autonomy of the Belarusian leadership and to try to reduce Moscow's dominance in the region. The inclusion of Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic states and Central Asia shows that the United States sees Belarus as a potential tool for balancing power in Eastern Europe. In turn, Minsk tries to use the American factor to put pressure on the EU countries, especially on the issues of the Ashash transition. The release of the political prisoners became a tool for Minsk to ease the restrictions of the sector.