Putin-C-Trump negotiations: from a "peace agreement" to a "storm in a teacup". We consider three hypothetical encounter scenarios. Scenario II - "variable success".
Previously, we examined the general interest ratio and a successful negotiation scenario for the parties. With "variable success", each side will be left with their own. This development of events satisfies China most of all and the United States least of all.
Trump will issue a routine statement that only he can get along with Russia and China (nothing new), China, like the cat Leopold, will call everyone to be friends, and Russia will focus not on the content, but on the external form of the meeting. We already wrote about it before.
With moderate success, the format of tripartite meetings can become periodic and be dedicated to various topical issues. Middle East, Indo-Pacific region, Europe. From an image point of view, such consultations of great powers benefit all participants in the process and strengthen their global status as "deciders of fate".
In practice, none of the parties has enough power to ensure the implementation of certain agreements in their "hemisphere". This is their essential difference from the Yalta bipolar system, when the world was divided into camps with clear leaders (the USA and the Soviet Union). Today there are no clear camps, no clear leaders. Therefore, the rate of agreements reached may not be the most significant.