There is no new war, no end to the pressure; What is the Arabic version of Iran?
Trump's statements about the request of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain to avoid new attacks against Iran indicate the preference of these countries to prevent the spread of the war; A preference that does not necessarily mean opposition to the continuation of the blockade and the economic pressure on Tehran. According to Trump, these countries want to maintain the status quo for a while; A condition where widespread attacks stop, but the pressure vessels remain active.
One of the important aspects of this equation is the continued export of oil from the countries of the region through the Strait of Hormuz and alternative routes such as Yanbu and Fujairah. If Iran's oil exports remain limited, but other exporters continue to sell oil without interruption, economic pressure will be placed on Iran in an unbalanced way and the status quo will stabilize. Therefore, the principle of reciprocity of energy security should become one of the axes of Iran's diplomacy and deterrence.
Tehran should not allow the cessation of attacks to become a cover for the normalization of the blockade and the erosion of the country's economic strength. Negotiations and mediation can also be the way to resolve the crisis when it brings concrete results and countermeasures, including establishing a blockade and export restrictions. Stopping the war without ending the pressure is not a sustainable peace, but a transformation of the conflict.
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