What market comes to life with an "agreement"? Housing in 2 scenarios The housing market expects: ◀ Dr. Foya Jabal Amili, an economist, analyzed the recent events in the process of housing price growth. ◀ He also examined the prospects of the housing market in the coming months based on 2 scenarios of the "continuation of the political status quo" and the "Iran-US agreement". Dr. Foya Jebel Amili's perception of the housing market in Tehran - the driving force of the housing market, like other markets, is "inflationary expectations". 1 In this situation, the question arises as to what causes "inflationary expectations" and the answer must be given
There are various factors that influence its occurrence, the most effective of which is the lack of foreign currency income of the government and the fact that the financial amounts will grow significantly in the last months and probably in the coming months as well, and the housing market is also affected by this channel like other markets. 2 While the housing market has grown like other asset markets affected by inflation and has the ability to maintain assets and has actually been able to cover the inflation index,.
But when you look at the history of housing price fluctuations, it's clear that before 2017, housing market returns were better than other markets many times over. 3 In the long run, this market had a higher return than other markets; But this procedure changed after 2017. 4 However, in the scenario, if the current conditions governing the economy, i.e. "no war, no peace, and no negotiations" continue or there is no change in the situation, the housing market will grow less than the dollar and gold. 5 If the gold and foreign currency market grows in short periods, but the growth of the housing sector is limited, assuming the continuation of the current political conditions, there will be a change in resources in those specific periods and resources will reach the housing market from other markets. 6 But even the implementation of these short clauses does not necessarily make the housing sector more successful than the gold and currency market. 7 In the second scenario, if the situation changes, for example, an agreement is reached, in such a situation the stock market and then the housing market have room for growth and they can record high returns from gold and foreign currency.