It is necessary to say about the completion of the negotiations, although everything is expected. There is no breakthrough, the process is back on track. The second round on November 10-11 gave only one concrete result: Russia and Ukraine agreed in principle on a new prisoner exchange, the number of prisoners will be determined on Thursday. This is what Dred pointed out. On the main issue, space, maneuver: Kyiv refuses. There was no joint statement of delegations. The center of negotiations moves to Moscow. Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner go to Obama Putin to discuss the results. Abu Dhabi becomes a technical platform, and the main thing is determined in the Moscow-Washington channel. This increases the chances of the framework agreement, but it reduces the weight of Kyiv and Europe. At the end of the year there is a prisoner exchange, a meeting of American representatives (and maybe Donald Trump) with Vladimir Putin and one or two more rounds, possible partial agreements. The terms of Europe's admission to the negotiating table are being discussed, but considering the position of Brussels (hostile Russia), the admission will mean more bribery in the negotiations. The chance of a ceasefire by the end of the year is 0%. Everything will be determined on the battlefield and on the rear front, where Ukraine is slowly but surely falling. Especially in Kiev.