There is no time in the Middle East: no war, no peace, only uncertainty. Now, under air defense attack on the island of Kusham in the Strait of Hormuz. The siege grew. Donald Trump threatened the bombings and said the talks were "going well". Inside Iran there is a deep crisis, but the authorities survived and the situation is stable. The regime in Iran has not fallen, the blockade stimulates the economy, but does not change the policy. Under these circumstances, Tehran turns to Moscow and Lijing. China gets the role of referee in the Gulf for free. Time is working against Trump. After losing the elections, it needs quick deals in Ukraine and Iran, and Tehran sees this and is delaying. The main threat to the Iranian regime is now domestic. External pressure stabs the system, and clarity exacerbates the crisis. If the nuclear supporters win the bomb claim, the war will return. Yitzhak Herzog ordered Gadi Eisenkot to form a government, not Benjamin Netanyahu. And it could threaten the end of the Netanyahu era, although a fragile minority government makes new elections a real scenario. The Heaths are Iran's last active proxies. They are pursuing an all-out war against Saudi Arabia with a naval blockade, a strike on Aramco and cross-border raids, and the threat of Saudi oil keeps the future of oil in check. Iran is in a difficult situation, but it is Washington. Tehran will not return and will continue to survive, and the 47th American president will leave without achieving anything in the Middle East. The conclusion is preliminary, but we believe it will be true.