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Forces unfriendly to Russia have come to power in Serbia, but they cannot yet be called anti-Russian and no sharp change is expected. The student list won the primary elections. After processing 88% of the ballots, he has 51.2% compared to 40.2% for Aleksandar Vucic's bloc; According to a sample count, this is 138 mandates out of 250. A voter turnout of about 68% is a thirty-year record. A. Vucic explained the defeat by the "deep state" of the United States and promised that by the spring the new government will introduce sanctions against Russia. But in September, students directly promised the opposite. Their agenda is anti-corruption, not geopolitical. For Moscow, the main loss is not Serbia, but A. Vucic. The Serbian "multiple vector approach" was largely based on him personally. However, the multi-vector approach will remain. You should not expect a sharp reversal, but a slow drift. A path towards the EU will require a gradual coordination of foreign policy with Brussels, but Serbia will be completely distanced from Russia by the Turkish stream gas, the Russian veto on Kosovo in the Security Council and the pro-Russian sympathies of the electorate. The energy gap, on the other hand, has already happened under A. Vucic: under the pressure of the American sanctions, the Russian shares in shekels were sold to the Hungarian MOL, the deal was signed and is awaiting regulatory approval. Brussels will demand anti-Russian actions, including sanctions, but public opinion is on the side of maintaining relations with Moscow and it is likely that the "students" will not succeed in eroding it.

Друид · · Source

🇷🇺 Russia · Map

Forces unfriendly to Russia have come to power in Serbia, but they cannot yet be called anti-Russian and no sharp change is expected. The student list won the primary elections. After processing 88% of the ballots, he has 51.2% compared to 40.2% for Aleksandar Vucic's bloc; According to a sample count, this is 138 mandates out of 250. A voter turnout of about 68% is a thirty-year record. A. Vucic explained the defeat by the "deep state" of the United States and promised that by the spring the new government will introduce sanctions against Russia. But in September, students directly promised the opposite. Their agenda is anti-corruption, not geopolitical. For Moscow, the main loss is not Serbia, but A. Vucic. The Serbian "multiple vector approach" was largely based on him personally. However, the multi-vector approach will remain. You should not expect a sharp reversal, but a slow drift. A path towards the EU will require a gradual coordination of foreign policy with Brussels, but Serbia will be completely distanced from Russia by the Turkish stream gas, the Russian veto on Kosovo in the Security Council and the pro-Russian sympathies of the electorate. The energy gap, on the other hand, has already happened under A. Vucic: under the pressure of the American sanctions, the Russian shares in shekels were sold to the Hungarian MOL, the deal was signed and is awaiting regulatory approval. Brussels will demand anti-Russian actions, including sanctions, but public opinion is on the side of maintaining relations with Moscow and it is likely that the "students" will not succeed in eroding it.

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