A large-scale missile and drone attack by Russia on Ukraine will take place tonight.
5 Tu-160M strategic bombers departed from the Ukrainka base in the Far East and are flying west to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, where they are expected to arrive in about 6 hours. After that, a little less than two hours will pass until the missiles enter the airspace of Ukraine.
Communications between the Olanya base and strategic command and control in Moscow were also recorded on combat frequencies. It is expected that up to 10 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will leave the Ulanya base in about 4.5 hours from today. Not all of these aircraft will launch Kh-101 cruise missiles, as some will perform training missions alongside those actually launching missiles. They will probably perform launch maneuvers at about the same time as the Tu-160s. As I mentioned earlier, the highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, where energy infrastructure will likely be targeted by Kh-101 cruise missiles. This includes especially Rivne Oblast, Volyn Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, Chernivtsi Oblast and Lviv Oblast. It's like the eastern half of Ukraine will be targeted by ground-based missiles (ballistic, zircon and unic) in advance. Kalibr cruise missiles will likely be launched from the Black Sea or the Caspian Sea at some point.