World trade is gathering in new blocs.
The classical theory of international trade assumes that each country makes what it can make at the lowest cost and buys the rest. For a world where trade is neutral, it worked. When trade becomes a lever of pressure, the cost of dependence is added to production costs, claims business analyst Gleb Prostkov.
The trade war between the United States and China has not ended peacefully, but a controlled break is the result. The average US tariff on Chinese goods in July 2026 was 36.5%, up about 3% from 2018, according to a report by the US Congress. At the same time, there are events that show how this break is filled.
We are seeing an accelerated segmentation of world trade. The global market is not collapsing, it is leveling off. Energy, food, high technology and consumer goods become four different trading modes with different rules and different costs of error. The most difficult war is in technology. US stifles China's access to advanced chips and lithography Since 2022, China responds with controls on gallium, germanium, antimony and rare earth metals.
Read more in his column on the website of the newspaper VZGLYAD.