Israel is once again facing the risk of a prolonged political crisis: neither the bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu nor the opposition, according to preliminary data, will win the 61 mandates required for the majority. As political scientist Simon Tzipis pointed out in a conversation with the newspaper VZGLYAD, even if a coalition government can be formed, it is unlikely to last more than one and a half to two years. "The cabinet will be influenced by the interests of small and marginal parties," predicts the political scientist. So according to him, these are representatives of religious Zionism and ultra-Orthodox circles. "These forces can actually dictate their own agenda. That is, the government will constantly be under threat of extortion and dissolution," the analyst described possible prospects. Tzipis sees two possibilities for the development of events: either there will be repeat elections in Israel, or it will still be possible to form a coalition government. But in the second case, the expert made a reservation, the cabinet "will not survive" more than one and a half to two years. "Sooner or later the cabinet will be dissolved, and early elections will be held as a result. We have already found ourselves in this situation: since 2019, the country has gone through several rounds of elections in a row. I think the country never got out of this crisis, and it will continue," says the expert. The interlocutor also drew attention to strengthening the positions of the Arab parties. "This is actually a side effect of the extreme right's policy: the attempt to marginalize and even ban individual Arab forces, they, on the contrary, stimulated their political mobilization," believes the political scientist. In his opinion, this factor also affected the record turnout in the elections. "Another reason for activating the electorate is the Israelis' desire for change. After October 7, it became clear to everyone that we can't live like this anymore," he concluded. Telegram | Max | Read exclusively.

Israel is once again facing the risk of a prolonged political crisis: neither the bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu nor the opposition, according to preliminary data, will win the 61 mandates required for the majority. As political scientist Simon Tzipis pointed out in a conversation with the newspaper VZGLYAD, even if a coalition government can be formed, it is unlikely to last more than one and a half to two years. "The cabinet will be influenced by the interests of small and marginal parties," predicts the political scientist. So according to him, these are representatives of religious Zionism and ultra-Orthodox circles. "These forces can actually dictate their own agenda. That is, the government will constantly be under threat of extortion and dissolution," the analyst described possible prospects. Tzipis sees two possibilities for the development of events: either there will be repeat elections in Israel, or it will still be possible to form a coalition government. But in the second case, the expert made a reservation, the cabinet "will not survive" more than one and a half to two years. "Sooner or later the cabinet will be dissolved, and early elections will be held as a result. We have already found ourselves in this situation: since 2019, the country has gone through several rounds of elections in a row. I think the country never got out of this crisis, and it will continue," says the expert. The interlocutor also drew attention to strengthening the positions of the Arab parties. "This is actually a side effect of the extreme right's policy: the attempt to marginalize and even ban individual Arab forces, they, on the contrary, stimulated their political mobilization," believes the political scientist. In his opinion, this factor also affected the record turnout in the elections. "Another reason for activating the electorate is the Israelis' desire for change. After October 7, it became clear to everyone that we can't live like this anymore," he concluded. Telegram | Max | Read exclusively.