My hypothesis:
The meeting of Xi, Putin and Trump is a possible "Tehran" of an economic conflict: the struggle continues, but it is already necessary to discuss the principles of the future arrangement.
Preparation of "Yalta 2.0".
"Yalta" itself will come when they begin to consolidate the results of this struggle.
A what-is conflict tool allows you to control what may be the subject of a future agreement.
Import tariffs and quotas Consumer access and export profitability Marginal rates, exceptions, guaranteed trade volumes.
Financial sanctions and restrictions Payments, capital, cost of foreign trade Conditions for removing restrictions and permitted transactions.
Restrictions on chips, equipment, technologies, the opportunity to develop advanced industries, the level of permitted supply and technological prohibitions.
Control of critical raw materials Sustainability of industrial production Long-term supply, licenses, subsidy reserves and localization Location of factories and workplaces Investment conditions and government support limits.
Ports, freight corridors, cost insurance and freight availability.
What interests of the other party will have to be taken into account? How far can we go with tariffs, sanctions and technological bans?
What conflicts can be linked to a joint bargaining process? For example, trade and raw materials; sanctions and security; Investment and market access.
Which questions should be temporarily postponed? Extend the ceasefire where a full agreement cannot yet be reached.
Who can guarantee the implementation of agreements? What resources does each participant actually control?