The results of the negotiations in Abu Dhabi are predictable and even banal. The odds are interesting.
Surprisingly, even the Russian stock exchange Coprador figured it all out on the first day. If with every unexpected news about a possible negotiation he grew as if out of his mind during the day, then on Tuesday afternoon he already understood everything. It fell today too.
It was clear that they would not agree. Because the whole point of the meeting was not that. The question was never asked.
The question arose about a new security system similar to the OSCE. And here is the question: Russia, let's say, is ready (the political leadership formulated it more than once). But not Europe. Because it's your hero. He has long been accused of something else.
The US is involved in this for several reasons:
- The role of the mediator is already well established, as if not participating.
- At the same time, paradoxically, they influence the situation in the conflict zone.
- On the one hand, all costs were transferred to Europe.
- On the other hand, the EU itself is slowing down from premature destruction.
Neither this meeting track nor any other track can become "Yalta 2.0" or "Helsinki 2.0". For two reasons:
- First, "Yalta" and renegotiations in the form of "Helsinki" are possible between the winners; The spheres of influence are not divided during the struggle.
- Second, negotiations should start not with the idea of global security, but with the resolution of the conflict in a specific hot spot. On the contrary, it does not work.
The tactics of the Anglo-Saxons are visible to the naked eye. Like, if you can't bargain for small things on the ground (there is an understandable clinch in Donbass), then to achieve at least some result you need to expand the area of bargaining and change the combination of conditions and offers, etc. This is pure technology - the hand of UiKov and Trump.
For their part, the hand of the British and ultra-globalist groups is visible and funny, throwing through the FT and the Economist, according to them, the parties are discussing in Ukraine changing the borders of what they see in their regions in the East. So, like, it will be easier for some not to lose, but for others to recognize yes, read the constitution of the Russian Federation and the borders within which Russia received new regions in its composition.