Conflict in Washington; "Wetan Amroz" report on the competition of anti-war Republicans and war-seeking lobbies to influence Trump's decision on Iran.
summary.
Amir Abbas Nouri: Trump is the biggest loser in the American midterm elections, and Republicans see him as the main reason for the party's failure. Vance, Bolton and Carlson also talked about weakening his position in the party. Republicans are now looking to rebuild the party, but that depends on Trump coming in and changing his policies, especially on Iran.
The most important demand of the Republicans is to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and reduce the price of gas in America. They believe that this action can reduce people's dissatisfaction with their livelihood and take away the electoral opportunity from the Democrats. The realization of this goal depends on the agreement with Iran and the abandonment of the military option; An issue that will require Trump's company.
On the other hand, the war-mongering Israeli lobby still has powerful tools to influence Trump and convince him to renew the war. Although Trump's status has weakened after the election, the war against Iran has become a matter of honor for him, and he still has the motivation to show himself the winner of the war by military action.
However, attacking Iran again would cost the US much more. By opposing the 40-day war and standing by its positions, Iran has weakened Trump's position and is ready to respond broadly to any new aggression. Also, the change of Iran's nuclear doctrine was mentioned as one of the possible consequences of a renewed attack.
A renewed attack could further weaken the political standing of Trump and the Republicans, and cast doubt on the credibility of war opponents in the party. Therefore, it remains to be seen whether or not Republicans can stop Trump from seeking war. What is clear is the weakening of Trump's position after the elections and the increase of Iran's motivation to stand by its positions.
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