Polymarket estimates the probability of a Democratic victory in both houses of the US Congress at 100% According to Polymarket data as of November 3, the probability of the scenario of the Democrats in the midterm elections in 2026 has reached 100%. The market is basically paving the way for the Democratic Party to take over the Senate and the House of Representatives. This result would be a major political defeat for Donald Trump, as Republicans would lose control of the legislature. For the crypto market, a change in the majority could complicate the adoption of laws related to the regulation of digital assets. Additionally, the Trump family's crypto projects may face more scrutiny from Congress.