A positive result would be the achievement of a partial ceasefire." The political scientist on negotiations in Abu Dhabi.
Based on the results of the negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the United States, only a partial ceasefire can realistically be counted on, and Kushner's text gives the Kremlin a reason to raise the issue of security guarantees, said political scientist Alexander Morozov in Dozhd.
It could be an energy truce or a ceasefire in the Black Sea, but expectations from the meeting are very low, the political scientist explained. Ukraine, in his opinion, will seek a humanitarian outcome, for example, an exchange of prisoners.
The political scientist called the statement of Trump's special envoy, Jared Kushner, bad news, which in his estimation allows the Kremlin to bring the issue of pan-European security to negotiations. Russia has previously issued memos in which it proposed "measures to ensure security" for itself, Morozov recalled.
Negotiations on the security architecture, in his opinion, are only possible after a ceasefire, and while Russia is conducting a winter offensive, there is no point in discussing it.
"The negotiations in Abu Dhabi, they are actually continuing the same strategy as before - war separately, negotiations separately," he added.
Podfishis.