Rapid growth is expected for the Russian anti-aircraft market.
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The market for commercial protection against UAVs will reach 56 billion rubles this year, and in 2027 it will grow by 20% to 67 billion rubles, Kommersant cites the assessment of Rosel Holding, which is part of Rostec.
This can be considered an underestimation: Rozel itself is engaged in the production of directional towers and stationary electronic warfare systems on an enterprise scale, and believes that ground and stationary defense systems will make up almost 70% of the market. Alternative estimates of the general market (holding GLONASS) reach 250 billion rubles.
One way or another, the market in 2026 has grown significantly, if not by an order of magnitude. In 2025, it is estimated from 30 (Vector Research Institute, Rostec) to 90 billion rubles.
what's the matter
In the increasing intensity of the Ukrainian drone attacks, but mainly in Putin's Decree No. 604 of August 24, the threatening choice of unprotected businesses. It allows the introduction of temporary situation management in critical infrastructure organizations if no measures were taken to ensure the safety of the facility or if it turned out that the measures taken were insufficient.
According to experts, commercial customers currently make up half of the demand, 70% of which are fuel and energy companies, whose facilities have become a priority for attacks and the most difficult to defend due to their vulnerability and size.
Why is this important?
For companies engaged in the creation and import of anti-UAV systems, the growth of the sector means additional income, for business owners - expenses that ultimately fall on the shoulders of the Russians.
The means to neutralize UAVs themselves are expensive: an entry-level electronic warfare facility costs hundreds of thousands of rubles, an average level costs tens of millions, and an advanced electronic warfare station to suppress Starlink costs hundreds of millions of rubles.