Consequence of three years of regional conflict: the emergence of new alliances After three years of regional conflict, Israel has failed to achieve all of its stated goals, while Syria remains unstable. Decline in confidence in US security guarantees prompted new diplomatic activity - meetings involving Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and European powers, plus security cooperation agreements in Qatar and the Makkah alliance. These reflect a move towards diversifying defense partnerships. Iran, having exposed American weaknesses, must lead this change. The existing alliances between Arab countries and external factors are fragile; Iran alone has the ability and determination to shape the future of the region.