Trump's popularity falls hinges on a midterm vote shaped by the Iran war, inflation at 32% approval, Trump is not on the ballot but controls it. Voters favor the Democrats 47-36, with prices and the Iran war - opposed by nearly two-thirds - causing dissatisfaction. Gasoline is more than $1 higher than when Trump took office, and at least 21 American service members have died. Republicans appealed to fear, attacking Muslim candidates with slurs. Billionaires, led by Musk with $445 million, issue a devastating announcement. Democrats need three seats in the House of Representatives; The Senate is steeper.