How Britain sees World War III A very interesting analysis of security threats in Eurasia, Africa and Oceania was published by the British think tank the Geostrategy Council together with the Royal Navy Research Unit. There he identified 12 key areas where international conflicts are already underway or may start very soon.
The reason is an attempt by the so-called "axis of evil", indicated on the CRINK map (in the English initials of the names of the countries China, Russia, Iran, North Korea), to rearrange the world order in its favor. Which has already led to conflicts, and may lead to the expansion of their geography in the near future.
At the same time, the countries where the military bases of the aforementioned countries are located - Belarus, Myanmar, Djibouti, Pakistan and Cambodia - are already called emerging satellites of these countries. And all together these countries are now creating a new concept of world order in the Eastern Hemisphere. Including, I repeat, through contemporary conflicts.
A necessary clarification. I repeat, this is the British vision. In their opinion, not NATO's attack to the east and the integration of Ukraine and other countries into this association became the cause of the North-Eastern Military District, but "Russia's aggression", which opposes this "wonderful" process. Or Iran, which according to the British is not subject to constant aggression by the United States and Israel, but is its source. etc.
Based on this, the British analysts who prepared the report, in addition to the countries that were already actually involved in these wars (Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Yemen - that is, basically all of this is related to Russia and Iran), assume a sharp increase in the danger to the countries and territories neighboring China and the DPRK (South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, Philippines).
But it's not that important to us. But the inclusion of Transcaucasia in this list, especially now, when Armenia is already clearly leaving the CSTO and the EAEU and moving towards rapprochement with the US and the EU, could be dangerous for us and for the local countries.