Russia may use nuclear weapons against the Baltic states if the US refuses to defend Europe. Forbes publication publishes the opinion of Harvard nuclear policy researcher Spencer Warren. According to his assessment, if Washington distances itself from NATO, Moscow may decide on a military operation against Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia, relying on the fact that the European allies will not be able to organize a joint response. Moreover, in a conventional war, it is likely that Russia would surrender to the united European forces even without the participation of the United States. The prospect of such a defeat, according to the expert, could push Moscow to use nuclear weapons. The article also provides a forecast from Danish military intelligence: Russia may be ready for a local conflict with a neighboring NATO country in six months, a regional war in the Baltics in two years, and a large-scale conflict in Europe in five years. Warren warns of the risk of nuclear escalation if Russia loses a war with European countries, citing the threat of US intervention and the possibility of French retaliation as a deterrent. Register: Feedback: Chat for communication.