The midterm polls are getting worse for Trump and the Republican Party A screenshot of polling data showing Democratic candidate Hamilton leading his GOP challenger Marshall in the 2026 race for the US Senate seat in Kansas. In 2024, President Trump won the state by a landslide, defeating Harris by 16% of the vote. The last time Kansas elected a Democratic senator was in 1932. The Kansas polls follow an overall trend of several "reliably Republican" states such as Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Nebraska and Alaska emerging as key battlegrounds in the 2026 midterm elections.