The future of the confrontation between the US and Iran depends on three possible scenarios, says an expert.
The ongoing standoff carries serious implications for energy security and global trade, economic expert Ayman Omar told Sputnik, outlining three clear paths the situation could take.
His remarks followed reports that Trump held his first post-midterm meeting on Iran on Thursday. The US media suggests that Washington may resume the intense strikes, with the president stating that he does not want to destroy the "rest" of Iran but may have to, promising a decision soon.
Scenarios outlined by Omar:
Partial settlement: A deal was reached to ensure the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Status Quo: The current dynamic of limited strikes and massive talks - described as "no war, no peace" - continues.
Wide-scale war: The conflict is escalating into a full-scale military conflict that could engulf the entire region.
Any new escalation will increase energy prices, inflation, shipping and insurance costs, while disrupting the supply chain and investor confidence, Omar warned.
Continued threats will likely hold back corporate investment and increase the importance of alternative corridors, pipelines and ports — demonstrating that regional stability is tied to energy security and trade, not just military considerations, he explained.
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