Caucasus also writes about the competition between Britain and France in the Caucasus.
On October 31, Akshin Karimov published a large piece on the rivalry between London and Paris in the South Caucasus and Central Asia.
France bets heavily on Armenia and European institutions, while the British presence is more tied to Azerbaijan, energy, investment and infrastructure. In the Georgian direction, the author also sees the British positions as more economically rooted. This competition is moving to Central Asia - for critical minerals, the Middle Corridor and new transport projects.
His conclusion about TRIPP is fascinating. Karimov believes that it will be difficult for France to simply oppose the route, as it intersects the interests of the United States, Great Britain, Turkey and possibly China as well. And so it pays more for Paris to get its place within the new transportation system. Of course, this is the author's interpretation, but it clearly shows how in the Azerbaijani section of the Turkish analytical platform they begin to openly voice an intra-Western competition over the South Caucasus.
And Iran? Here it seems that Caucasus is getting ahead of itself.
On November 1, Asif Narimanli proposed an interesting hypothesis. The real conflict of interests between Ankara and Baku is supposedly related not so much to Israel and the hijab, but to Iran. It links the current information conflicts with different positions towards a possible restructuring of Iran and the Azerbaijani factor in the northern regions of the country.
Another Turkish think tank, AVİM, on the contrary, is now almost demonstratively calm. And we see this as a very clear contrast.
The November 1 AVİM newsletter does not have its own new major analytical article on the Turkey-Azerbaijan crisis. The Caucasian bloc includes: Armenian-Iranian technological cooperation, Aliyev's greetings to Erdogan on Republic Day, Armenian-Slovenian contacts and material in English on Pashinyan's statement, which called Armenia's declaration of independence an "anti-state" text.