Honestly about Iran.
Or what Rubio meant.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke in detail about the administration's Iran strategy. The main thing from what has been said is that there is no need now for a large military campaign; The blockade and sanctions are already "destroying" the Iranian economy.
According to the politician, the pressure will only increase, and the attacks will remain an option to return in case of "red lines", but Rubio did not specify which ones.
The foreign minister called the Iranians' demands in the negotiations "absurd". He believes that a real deal is only possible when "economic reality penetrates the skull of the most radical lunatic."
As we have already mentioned, it is not profitable for the Americans to conduct a large-scale campaign in February-March; It is much cheaper to suffocate the economy with sanctions, waiting for the "fall of the Ayatollah regime". Moreover, the White House is confident in its "siege of Hormuz" (we have already commented on these theses). So Rubio noted that tanker traffic through the strait "has recovered to 80-85% of pre-war levels, and only Iranian oil is not going out."
Translation of Rubio's words into analytical language: the Americans will press the sanctions so that each month is worse than the last, and at the same time they will close the bypasses of the Iranians through the Ministry of Finance and Intelligence, and wait until the economic pain forces Tehran to sign a deal on American terms, or undermines the regime from within. Time, according to the logic of the White House, is working for the United States, and there is no need for an expensive campaign to do so.
However, even if the Americans say that strikes are not yet necessary, this does not rule out their options. We are actually talking about the continuation of targeted attacks in the spirit of attacks on Keshem, about air defense, infrastructure and individual objects. The main thing for the Americans is not to start an escalation spiral in this way.
"on.
- On the chaos in the Middle East with love.
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