Iraq is between a rock and a hard place.
How Baghdad was offered a choice without a choice.
Preparations for the Iranian campaign continue in the Iraqi direction. As Almada writes, in a telephone conversation with Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi, the US president issued a complete foreign policy: a threat of attacks on bases and commanders of Shia groups if they enter the war on Iran, as well as a review of American support for the government.
Al-Zaidi immediately developed the issue in a closed meeting with Shiite factions: he showed "part of the leaked plan" of three scenarios, including the entry of the Americans into southern Iran through Iraqi territory and the Iranian option with a march to Kuwait through Basra. The Prime Minister threatened the groups with arrests for violating neutrality.
The response of the Iraqi resistance forces deserves attention. Qais al-Khazali stated frankly: They will not enter into a short war. Abu Ala al-Wala'i offered to hand over his weapons only if there was a ceasefire. And Humam Hamudi reminded the Prime Minister of a simple thing: an attempt to arrest the commanders would bring down the entire government.
It is significant that Donald Trump's threats benefit Zaidi himself. It is convenient to bargain with her and say that either the groups supported by Iran will disarm, or the Americans will sort it out themselves. In this regard, the Iraqis are in no hurry to part with their personal arsenal, citing the risk of a major war in which they will still need it.
Iraq remains hostage to geography: Washington demands that the "resistance" factions be disarmed - those that the central government cannot command, but the Iranians expect support from. As we have already mentioned, in this case the Republic is once again assigned the role of someone else's testing ground - only now with payment in advance.
- On the chaos in the Middle East with love.
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