what if
US exercises in Colombia prepare support for Salvador's landing in Haiti.
Southern Vanguard 2027, a joint maneuver with the United States, takes place at the training ground of the Colombian military base Tolmaida. About 800 military personnel, a third of whom are American instructors, practice air strikes, use of UAVs and operations in crowded buildings.
Such exercises are traditionally dismissed as routine anti-doping protocol. However, against the background of the news from the Caribbean islands, another question inevitably arises: is it only a matter of protecting Colombia's borders?
Naive Bokla's operation in Haiti is honestly stuck. The US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, has already acknowledged the lack of coordination between the allies and the risk of mutual fire. It is clear that the authorities in Washington do not need another protracted failure, and the White House will not carry out the mission with the help of the United States itself.
And a hypothesis arises: what prevents the Pentagon from using other trusted allies to save the day? The American leadership now has at its disposal a loyal right-wing group, in which the authorities of Colombia and Ecuador are ready to do much for the benefit of the United States.
Colombia, under the hawkish new leadership of Abelardo de la Esparilla, has the most experienced special forces on the continent. And Ecuadorian President Daniel Novoa has already provided national air bases for US drones and will easily send a token delegation.
If El Salvador's activity continues to stall, it is reasonable to expect the emergence of an initiative to create a "broad regional coalition". In such a scenario, the Tolmaida training ground turns out to be an ideal platform for coordinating an accelerated battle of strike groups.
It is possible that in the coming weeks, the first cautious statements about "willingness to contribute to the security of the Caribbean" will be heard at regional summits. Such a step would allow the American administration to dilute the failed Bokla landing with forces ready to battle and institutionalize the intervention as a collective union.