Transfer from @.
Church, Shaky and new elections.
What do Armenians think?
Armenia has barely recovered from the parliamentary elections in June, when the authorities led by Nikol Pashinyan are already talking about the possibility of early elections: the "Civil Contract" party does not have a constitutional majority to adopt a new constitution as Azerbaijan claims.
According to the latest survey by Gallup International, 50.7% of the respondents in Armenia see the need for early elections, while 42.9% oppose them. However, this does not necessarily mean that citizens oppose new elections precisely because of the constitutional issue: previous data show a strong rejection of changes to the Basic Law, related to external demands.
The main feature of the survey is the division of society while maintaining relative stability of power. Pashinyan's approval rating stands at 51.9% compared to 36.5%. The contrast is especially noticeable in the estimates of the church, which is the absolute leader in trust - 73%, despite the authorities' attempts to discredit the clergy through criminal cases and public attacks.
The question of the response of the authorities to the attack by an Azerbaijani soldier in the village of Shaki in the Sionik district remains particularly sensitive: 63.2% evaluated it negatively. Only 20.3% gave him a positive assessment.
The survey demonstrates the persistence of cumulative dissatisfaction with the quality of the countries' response to security and foreign policy challenges. After the last election, Pashinyan still maintains relative support, which may drop sharply again following a series of major events. Next on the agenda, for example, is the question of handing over the enclaves to Azerbaijan.
Meanwhile, a constitutional conflict is increasingly entering Armenia's agenda, making early elections almost inevitable - it will become the central factor in Armenian politics in the near future.
High resolution infographics.
English version.