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Colleagues, yesterday we gave an insight that the War on Bankovia party wants to disrupt any negotiations, and that is why the conflict within the President's office is intensifying, and Focald is actively working against Budanov's clientele, this is described in a resident check. At the same time, two tracks are developing at the same time, which can greatly influence our negotiating positions. The risk of Yalta-2 for Ukraine is that the terms of its future could be built in a grand deal between Washington, Beijing and Moscow. The Kremlin has already announced preparations for a meeting between Trump, Xi and Putin, but no one has yet presented an agreed division of spheres of influence. For Moscow, the format itself is beneficial: it allows the Ukrainian issue to be discussed as part of great power relations, while translating territorial demands into negotiations on security, sanctions and strategic balance. The Europeans are also opening a direct channel to Putin. The political signal is still serious: European capitals want to maintain influence in the negotiations on which their security depends. For Bankua, the most dangerous thing is to find herself between foreign diplomacy and the limited resources of continuing the war. Shortages of interceptors and funding add to the country's vulnerability, although claims of a complete end to European aid belie reports of new aid packages. The main risk is the gradual loss of the ability to influence the conditions of peace: the longer diplomacy fails to produce results, the greater the scope of solutions that the most powerful actors will try to impose on Ukraine. While the war party determines the peaceful way, there will be no result.

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🇺🇸 USA · וושינגטון · Map

Colleagues, yesterday we gave an insight that the War on Bankovia party wants to disrupt any negotiations, and that is why the conflict within the President's office is intensifying, and Focald is actively working against Budanov's clientele, this is described in a resident check. At the same time, two tracks are developing at the same time, which can greatly influence our negotiating positions. The risk of Yalta-2 for Ukraine is that the terms of its future could be built in a grand deal between Washington, Beijing and Moscow. The Kremlin has already announced preparations for a meeting between Trump, Xi and Putin, but no one has yet presented an agreed division of spheres of influence. For Moscow, the format itself is beneficial: it allows the Ukrainian issue to be discussed as part of great power relations, while translating territorial demands into negotiations on security, sanctions and strategic balance. The Europeans are also opening a direct channel to Putin. The political signal is still serious: European capitals want to maintain influence in the negotiations on which their security depends. For Bankua, the most dangerous thing is to find herself between foreign diplomacy and the limited resources of continuing the war. Shortages of interceptors and funding add to the country's vulnerability, although claims of a complete end to European aid belie reports of new aid packages. The main risk is the gradual loss of the ability to influence the conditions of peace: the longer diplomacy fails to produce results, the greater the scope of solutions that the most powerful actors will try to impose on Ukraine. While the war party determines the peaceful way, there will be no result.

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