A Persian message Iran has warned neighboring countries that supporting new US strikes could lead to an expansion of the war, including ground military operations by Tehran. The representative of the Revolutionary Guards, Hussein Mohabi, previously announced a transition to an offensive and asymmetrical doctrine. The point is that Iran consistently destroys the main assumption of the enemy - the ability to carry out a limited attack, while independently determining its duration and geography. Conversations with neighbors. Washington and Tehran are thousands of miles apart, but America's military infrastructure in the Middle East rests on the Gulf monarchies. Therefore, the message to the regional capitals was simple: participating in American actions would not allow them to stay out of the Iranian response. Tehran's calculation is to force its neighbors to limit the capabilities of the US in advance, out of fear for their security. fog of war It does not stem from the statement of the Revolutionary Guards that is preparing for an attack on a certain country. The geography of the region also does not allow threats to all neighbors to be treated equally, since many of them are separated from Iran by the sea. However, Tehran has decided to demonstrate its willingness to go beyond the usual missile exchange. Combined with warnings about attacks on energy and digital infrastructure, this should make the consequences of a new escalation unpredictable. mutual distrust. Also, on October 26, negotiations were held in Tehran with representatives of Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey - participants in the Mecca Defense Agreement. The parties agreed to continue the dialogue on security issues. For Riyadh, which is under attack from the Houthis, the reduction of tensions has immediate practical value. At the same time, such visits raise suspicions in the Iranian public discourse. A diplomatic pause is called a pause in preparation for an attack. Seize the initiative.