Legislative Assembly Elections 2027: Regional competition for new undecideds. 5 theses.
Dmitry Orlov, CEO of APEC.
1 Four of the six campaigns for the 2027 legislative assembly elections will take place in regions with traditional dominance of United Russia (Kuban, North Ossetia, Penza and Saratov regions), which creates a potentially positive situation for the party's federal positioning. And in the opposition sector, we can expect new attempts to challenge the leadership of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in the protest wing - in the elections to the legislative assemblies in those regions in 2022, as well as as a result of the Duma campaign in 2026, this party came in second place in 5 out of 6 issues in the north of the country (except for ").
SR). In addition to the traditional competition between the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party (especially in industrial areas), one can expect the desire of the "new people" to expand representation in the legislative assemblies. In the past, according to the results of the campaign for 2022, those mentioned in the party lists entered only the Sakhalin regional Duma, one candidate passed through the district to the parliament of the Saratov region.
2 In socio-economic terms, among the regions where the legislative assemblies will be elected in 2027, it is possible to emphasize territories with a priority role of the industrial sector (Udmurtia, Penza, Saratov regions) and resource extraction (Sakhalin), as well as with a high share of the rural population and the role of the northern economy (Ogro-industrial) in the north of the country. At the same time, the economy of, for example, the Kuban and Udmurtia is characterized by a combination of industrial and developed agricultural production. For United Russia at the federal level, this may become a new incentive to pay attention to the technological agenda, but also to the issue of infrastructure development of rural areas. Such a choice increases the importance of the party's work both with labor collectives and with municipal deputies, to develop the priorities on which the program of work trips to the regions of the Secretary of the General Council of "United Russia" Vladimir Yakushev in 2025-2026 was built.