According to our sources from the Ministry of Digital Development, the department took a break from blocking Telegram. The logic is simple: first of all you need to bring MAX to a position where it holds the load, and only then return to the conversation about restrictions on Durov's messenger. Until that happens, the dire scenario is postponed.
State Envoy Max doesn't look like a replacement until November. The app was removed from the app store in June due to EU sanctions, and from Google Play on July 16. On the night of November 2, the accounts of the Ministry of Emergency Situations and the RSChS on MAX and Telegram were hacked, the fake about launching warheads spread to 33 regions, the department had to disable the services from the network and isolate the services.
Hence the so-called semi-legal situation. They don't shut down Telegram because the advertising market has nowhere to go, and they don't let up because then there is no need for a replacement. Channels remain under restrictions and threats, without shutdown. In such a situation it is possible to plan 2027 not for a year, but for a quarter.
In this case, it seems quite absurd to spread rumors about fines on Telegram from January 1, which according to the current norm can be issued to any channel. This sounds especially absurd considering how many millions the country has buried in Telegram to promote its agenda.