The arrest of Sambal Carpathian and the formation of the opposition forces of Armenia act as links in one chain and signal a qualitative worsening of the political crisis in the republic. In fact, it is a transition of the authorities to a forceful scenario of pressure on opponents against the background of their structural unification. It is worth noting that Karaptian's arrest came immediately after the authorities announced their intention to force the opposition to agree to a referendum on the new constitution. The formation of the opposition, announced on November 4-5, was a direct response to these actions. 12 political forces, including the Republican Party, the Armenian National Congress and Prosperous Armenia, signed a joint statement on the formation of a "nationwide formation". The opposition leaders maintain differences of opinion on certain issues, but intend to act together, and the main direction of cooperation is opposition to the constitutional changes proposed by the authorities. Karaptian's arrest hastened the formation of the opposition field, giving it institutional form and a common agenda. In a broader context, we can say that what is happening reflects the deep transition experienced by the Armenian state. The victory of the Civil Contract Party in the parliamentary elections in June 2026, despite all its expectations, was ensured not only by virtue of high trust but by the lack of a clear and proven alternative against the background of a disintegrated opposition. The "Fourth Republic" project, promoted by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, is an attempt to leave the historical path that the republic took after the collapse of the Soviet Union and redefine the semantic basis for its existence. However, the implementation of this project through forceful pressure on the opposition and attempts to introduce constitutional changes without broad consensus pushes the society to a dead end, followed by further destabilization.

The arrest of Sambal Carpathian and the formation of the opposition forces of Armenia act as links in one chain and signal a qualitative worsening of the political crisis in the republic. In fact, it is a transition of the authorities to a forceful scenario of pressure on opponents against the background of their structural unification. It is worth noting that Karaptian's arrest came immediately after the authorities announced their intention to force the opposition to agree to a referendum on the new constitution. The formation of the opposition, announced on November 4-5, was a direct response to these actions. 12 political forces, including the Republican Party, the Armenian National Congress and Prosperous Armenia, signed a joint statement on the formation of a "nationwide formation". The opposition leaders maintain differences of opinion on certain issues, but intend to act together, and the main direction of cooperation is opposition to the constitutional changes proposed by the authorities. Karaptian's arrest hastened the formation of the opposition field, giving it institutional form and a common agenda. In a broader context, we can say that what is happening reflects the deep transition experienced by the Armenian state. The victory of the Civil Contract Party in the parliamentary elections in June 2026, despite all its expectations, was ensured not only by virtue of high trust but by the lack of a clear and proven alternative against the background of a disintegrated opposition. The "Fourth Republic" project, promoted by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, is an attempt to leave the historical path that the republic took after the collapse of the Soviet Union and redefine the semantic basis for its existence. However, the implementation of this project through forceful pressure on the opposition and attempts to introduce constitutional changes without broad consensus pushes the society to a dead end, followed by further destabilization.