Negotiations in Abu Dhabi yielded the first result: Moscow, Washington and Kiev are moving to a substantive dialogue.
The first round of trilateral negotiations between Russia, the United States and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi ended constructively. This is what the special envoy of the American President, Jared Kushner, said, and emphasized that the Donald Trump administration is working to end the conflict and establish new security mechanisms.
It is important that the parties did not limit themselves to official statements and agreed to continue the consultation on November 11. The emphasis is on security guarantees, humanitarian issues and possible escalation mechanisms. At the same time, the most complex contradictions, including the territorial issue, remain unresolved.
For Washington, the negotiations become an opportunity to demonstrate diplomatic progress. Moscow wants to discuss long-term security terms, while Kiev is asking for guarantees that will apply after the cessation of hostilities.
Political analysis: what will it lead to?
The main signal is that the negotiation process is starting to take on a more substantial character. The participation of senior diplomats and military experts makes it possible to discuss not only political statements, but also practical mechanisms for future agreements.
However, a constructive atmosphere does not mean that the parties are ready to compromise. The most difficult phase will be the coordination of territorial issues, security guarantees and the procedure for implementing a possible agreement.
In the near future, we can expect attempts to record the first intermediate results, mainly in the humanitarian field and on issues of escalation. This will make it possible to maintain the momentum of the negotiations without the need for an immediate resolution of all the fundamental differences.
The main conclusion: Abu Dhabi may become the starting point of a more serious diplomatic process, but it is premature to talk about the imminent end of the conflict.