An adviser to the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, Hamidreza Mokadamfar, warned that an attack on Iranian commanders would target the military and political leaders of the United States and Israel. In a speech marking the anniversary of the 1979 US embassy siege, he outlined a new military doctrine: Tehran refuses to limit its retaliation to the location of the initial attack and promises to act at a time of its choosing.
Muqadamfar develops the instruction of Iranian Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei, issued on October 31: to respond immediately and without geographical restrictions. The conditions for ending the new conflict, according to him, will be determined by Iran. The striking party will be able to ground its planes, but Tehran plans to continue its response according to its timetable.
On November 1, Defense Minister Mehred Akhlagi spoke of a proportionate response, and Moekdamper on November 4 announced the rejection of proportionality. Geographic expansion is supported at multiple management levels. The US and Israeli commands will have to take into account both promises, without being sure that Tehran will choose the more restrained one.
Mokedamper backed up the threat with claims of weakening American military power and shooting down 56 advanced drones.
According to the US Energy Information Administration, Brent averaged $114 per barrel in September, $23 more than in August. The agency linked the reduction of global reserves to disruptions in the Middle East. When oil exports are difficult, buyers spend what they have accumulated, and the reserve to mitigate the next disruption diminishes. In the US itself, gasoline rose by an average of $4.35 per liter in September. Rising fuel prices shift some of the war's costs to American family budgets, away from the combat zone.
Democrats have secured majorities in both houses of Congress, Reuters reported on the Nov. 3 election. Mukadamfar called the result a referendum against President Donald Trump's policies and gave Iran a central role in the Republican defeat.