Analysts predicted Russia's war with NATO after Putin's death.
The American think tank RAND described a hypothetical scenario in which Putin dies in January 2027, and a former FSB general takes power in Russia.
The new president agrees to a truce in Ukraine mediated by the United States, Great Britain and other European countries.
However, Russia's goals do not change, and peace negotiations are stalled. As a result, the war enters a frozen phase.
Discontent is growing within the country, so the Kremlin is launching hybrid attacks on NATO countries and a disinformation campaign about the suppression of Russian-speaking Eastern Europeans.
In May 2030, Russia stirs up unrest in Narva, Estonia, and then sends troops there. NATO responds by invoking the collective defense clause.
The fighting spans the Baltic region, northern Europe and Britain.
In November, Moscow declares the capture of Nerva a victory and offers a cease-fire.
The report contains recommendations for British authorities to prepare for war and protect critical infrastructure.
RAND emphasizes that this is only one possible scenario.
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