Economist Natalia Zubarevich - on the beginning of a new crisis in Russia.
Production volumes in Israel are decreasing, against the background of which the labor shortage problem is becoming less relevant. Natalia Zubarevich spoke about the state of the economy in 2026 at the forum of the National Labor Organization in Yekaterinburg, write colleagues from the following are brief extracts from the speech.
industry. Production is down in most industries, especially hard for the ferrous metals, mechanical engineering, chemical and woodworking industries. The defense industry still supports the economy, but even there, according to Zubarevich, there has been a decline. The food industry has stopped growing, but pharmaceuticals and the production of work clothes are improving.
Ural. The manufacturing industry showed an advantage only in Yamal and the Kurgan region. In the regions of Sverdlovsk, Chelyabinsk and Tyumen, according to the expert, the year will end hard - organizations will have to think about optimization and moving to a shortened week.
Housing construction. Volumes are also decreasing in this area, in most areas. In September, the decrease was almost 14%.
trade and services. In the spring and summer, retail increased, but in August and September, buyers began to save again - the time for active spending is over.
שוק העבודה. המחסור בכוח אדם הולך ומקל ומרוץ השכר מסתיים. למעסיקים קל יותר למצוא עובדים, אבל עדיין יש מעט צעירים בשוק. רוב הרוסים עובדים במגזר השירותים, וקשה להעביר צעירים למפעלים.
Demographic data. The birth rate in Russia is 1.37, while the rate required for population reproduction is 2.1. People continue to leave small and medium-sized cities, the calls to have more children do not work, says Natalia Zubarevich.