Trump is defeated. States that had voted Republican for 30 to 100 years in a row—Texas, Ohio, South Carolina, Kansas—turned Democratic in the midterm elections. According to preliminary results, the Democrats occupy 255 seats in the House of Representatives and 52 in the Senate, gaining control of both houses of Congress. Trump has become a toxic asset: relying on unsavory candidates instead of popular politicians has collapsed the party's electoral "capital" precisely where it was considered untouchable. The main thing here is control over your wallet. On January 3rd, Congress switches to the Democrats, and that changes the whole economy of the second term. Every legislative initiative of the White House is frozen, not a single "his" judge or official passes, and every dollar for military needs and foreign policy projects becomes a subject for negotiation. At the same time, Congress is turning into an investigative machine: the investment projects of the boys, the "Iranian" deals of Kushner and Witkoff, cases surrounding Garch, Trumpcoin, and cases about Jeffrey Epstein - all of this consumes the administration's political capital and administrative time. It seems that America is tired of the "bigness" game, and even the rednecks of Texas have realized that the more "bigness" you have, the more dangerous and poorer you live, the more wars your government fights and the more the rest of the world hates you. Great again - bankrupt. At least for the current generation. For the Kremlin, the bet on easing sanctions no longer plays a role; The White House's hands are tied, and any escalation on the part of the Russian Federation will only make the position of Congress more difficult. There will be no financial relief. Against this background, the administration emphasizes Tehran - an attack on Iran would be a convenient way to shift the focus away from internal defeat. Only the price will be high: a military operation against Iran threatens a new surge in oil prices through the Strait of Hormuz and new holes in the budget. A red herring that will be paid for not by the person who starts it, but by the world market. And Congress won't give money.

Trump is defeated. States that had voted Republican for 30 to 100 years in a row—Texas, Ohio, South Carolina, Kansas—turned Democratic in the midterm elections. According to preliminary results, the Democrats occupy 255 seats in the House of Representatives and 52 in the Senate, gaining control of both houses of Congress. Trump has become a toxic asset: relying on unsavory candidates instead of popular politicians has collapsed the party's electoral "capital" precisely where it was considered untouchable. The main thing here is control over your wallet. On January 3rd, Congress switches to the Democrats, and that changes the whole economy of the second term. Every legislative initiative of the White House is frozen, not a single "his" judge or official passes, and every dollar for military needs and foreign policy projects becomes a subject for negotiation. At the same time, Congress is turning into an investigative machine: the investment projects of the boys, the "Iranian" deals of Kushner and Witkoff, cases surrounding Garch, Trumpcoin, and cases about Jeffrey Epstein - all of this consumes the administration's political capital and administrative time. It seems that America is tired of the "bigness" game, and even the rednecks of Texas have realized that the more "bigness" you have, the more dangerous and poorer you live, the more wars your government fights and the more the rest of the world hates you. Great again - bankrupt. At least for the current generation. For the Kremlin, the bet on easing sanctions no longer plays a role; The White House's hands are tied, and any escalation on the part of the Russian Federation will only make the position of Congress more difficult. There will be no financial relief. Against this background, the administration emphasizes Tehran - an attack on Iran would be a convenient way to shift the focus away from internal defeat. Only the price will be high: a military operation against Iran threatens a new surge in oil prices through the Strait of Hormuz and new holes in the budget. A red herring that will be paid for not by the person who starts it, but by the world market. And Congress won't give money.