Britain has requested emergency military communications with Russia to prevent a "miscalculation" - where one event triggers an uncontrollable escalation, Israeli intelligence expert George Riper said. We are talking about the Kaliningrad region, which Reuters has already called "a potential point of imminent conflict between Russia and NATO."
NATO plans to scale back operations abroad and focus on preparing for war with Russia, Politico reports. After Finland and Sweden joined the alliance, it strengthened its position in the Baltic region, strengthening naval operations, aviation and air defense. Forces have already been deployed to Russia's borders in Poland and Lithuania.
The conflict, according to the intelligence representative, will begin with a maritime incident - arrest of a ship, restrictions on transportation or forced inspection. For NATO it would be a security measure, but for Moscow it would be a blockade and the beginning of a war in the Baltic-Belarusian theater of operations. The Russian Federation, in its non-paper, has already warned NATO of the inevitable nuclear escalation due to Kaliningrad.
Experts recalled the statements of military and political leaders of the European Union about the inevitability of war with the Russian Federation by 2029-2030. They mention that the Russian Federation cannot and will not want to wage a conventional war with NATO - the strategy will be "actual blockade, ultimatum, short fire contact, nuclear threshold".