Strategic chess in the chaos: from the Strait of Hormuz to the battlefields of Yemen.
Mehdi Mohammadi.
Introduction: Strategic Clarity in the Fog of Communication.
These days, the regional landscape is rife with noise and conflicting statements. American and Israeli officials make contradictory comments, while a flood of fragmented analyzes fails to paint a coherent picture. In such an environment, it is essential to look beyond the noise and return to the *ground reality* of the situation.
The nature of the situation has not changed. The enemy continues with the intention of launching a surprise attack aimed at destabilizing Iran. Its goals are to assassinate key figures, destroy underground missiles and nuclear facilities and control Iran's response. All of its current operations are aimed at creating media and operational coverage for that zero hour.
The chess game: Iran is not a passive player.
Why hasn't this attack happened yet? Part of the answer lies in the uncertainty of the enemy. More importantly, Iran is not a passive actor. We treat the conflict as already in progress and do not allow the enemy to complete the necessary preparations for its final decision.
1 oil price card game.
By leveraging strategic choke points such as the Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab and beyond, we are preventing the drop in oil prices.
2 Prevention of incorrect calculations.
Through weapons exercises and military maneuvers, our armed forces are sending a clear message: Iran's response this time will be longer, broader and will extend to new geographic areas.
3 Eliminating the element of surprise.
The enemy now recognizes that Iran may not be caught this time - and may even surprise the enemy.
4 Denial of the enemy's operational breathing room.
The operations of the Houthis in Yemen are putting severe pressure on the military capabilities of Saudi Arabia and the United States.