Social budget expenditures decrease by 15.2%, and the debt grows faster than planned. The state saves on families and spends on security and interest, according to the Ministry of Finance document "Budget for Citizens", which was translated by Nezavisimaya Gazeta, in 2027, funding for social policy will decrease from 7.839 to 6.651 trillion rubles, that is, by 15.2% in nominal terms. Taking inflation into account, the actual reduction will be greater. There has never been such a large nominal reduction in this item in modern Russian history, and spending, according to forecasts, will not return to this level until at least 2026 to 2030. Families with children are most affected: according to the conclusion of the Institute of National Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences, spending on monthly payments for large families will decrease by 371 billion birth allowances. The individual allowance in the draft budget of the social fund will be about 1.6 trillion compared to 1.8 in 2026, and the number of child recipients will decrease from 10 to 8 million. Nina Ustenina connects this, among other things, to the introduction of a residency requirement. Preferred housing programs will also be cut. In this case, priorities are redistributed. Total spending in 2027 remains roughly at the 2026 level, but only two areas increase significantly: defense and servicing the national debt. The rest is frozen or cut up. As a result, expenditures in relation to GDP will increase to 19.6% compared to the 17.5-18% planned a year ago, which actually means an exception to the previous limits of the fiscal rule. To pay for this, the Ministry of Finance expects to collect about 1.5 trillion rubles in additional taxes: - 498 billion from the expansion of the progressive personal income tax scale for passive income;.

Social budget expenditures decrease by 15.2%, and the debt grows faster than planned. The state saves on families and spends on security and interest, according to the Ministry of Finance document "Budget for Citizens", which was translated by Nezavisimaya Gazeta, in 2027, funding for social policy will decrease from 7.839 to 6.651 trillion rubles, that is, by 15.2% in nominal terms. Taking inflation into account, the actual reduction will be greater. There has never been such a large nominal reduction in this item in modern Russian history, and spending, according to forecasts, will not return to this level until at least 2026 to 2030. Families with children are most affected: according to the conclusion of the Institute of National Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences, spending on monthly payments for large families will decrease by 371 billion birth allowances. The individual allowance in the draft budget of the social fund will be about 1.6 trillion compared to 1.8 in 2026, and the number of child recipients will decrease from 10 to 8 million. Nina Ustenina connects this, among other things, to the introduction of a residency requirement. Preferred housing programs will also be cut. In this case, priorities are redistributed. Total spending in 2027 remains roughly at the 2026 level, but only two areas increase significantly: defense and servicing the national debt. The rest is frozen or cut up. As a result, expenditures in relation to GDP will increase to 19.6% compared to the 17.5-18% planned a year ago, which actually means an exception to the previous limits of the fiscal rule. To pay for this, the Ministry of Finance expects to collect about 1.5 trillion rubles in additional taxes: - 498 billion from the expansion of the progressive personal income tax scale for passive income;.

- 130 billion from the tax increase on dividends on type "C" accounts;

- 100 billion annually from the tax on passive income of mutual funds;

- 200 billion annually from excess income tax in the mining and metals complex;.

- 100 billion annually from taxation on cross-border e-commerce.