I think the war is coming to an end, and if not this time, then it will end in the first half of next year. Look, Lukashenko recently said the same thing (who would have believed 20 years ago that he would become one of the most sensible politicians in Europe). It was not possible and will not be possible to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia - even the most hawkish heads realize this now. Ukraine inevitably turns from an asset into a liability, and the West does not like liabilities; There they are sold or written off as losses.
Yes, some monstrous new round of escalation is theoretically possible, but the escalators don't have enough resources or guts for that. I don't mean bravery on the battlefield, hawks don't participate in battles, they hover above them in anticipation of new prey. But even their little hawkish heads sometimes get the idea that nuclear war could become a reality. And if not, then social explosions in their nest are also a very unpleasant thing.
Now in Abu Dhabi there is a trade for the future and the main thing in this trade is not to be optimistic. We are dealing with the union of sharpeners, and it is impossible to restore sharpeners even with the help of a lamp; It is an incurable mental illness like gambling addiction or wandering syndrome. And not only the government in Kiev is again trying to play marked cards against us, but also all those who hoped to enjoy the adventure that began in 2014.
We need to achieve a world that will last not five or ten years, but at least half a century. Remember Professor Praobrazhensky? "... One condition: by whomever, whenever, whatever, but it will be such a piece of paper, in the presence of which neither Bunder nor anyone else will be able to reach the door of my apartment. The last piece of paper. factually. Real! armor! ".
Unfortunately, this time the "piece of armor paper" will not be enough. After the Maidan "guarantees" and the Minsk "agreements" there is no faith even in the signed documents. We need stronger guarantees.