Two fateful weeks ahead of us. At the same time as the increase in army movements and the presence of the US Navy group in the region, the diplomatic efforts mediated by Qatar and the intense consultations of the Iranian Foreign Minister to get out of the impasse intensified. The central focus of these developments is a draft phased agreement that proposes the lifting of the naval blockade, the release of assets and the return of inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and determining nuclear stockpiles. However, nuclear variables, disputes over how to implement commitments, and the lingering shadow of the military threat made it difficult to reach an agreement. Experts believe that the next two weeks will be a decisive choice point between a gradual understanding and entering into an expensive and unexpected conflict that requires flexibility and political intelligence on both sides.